Earthquake Forecast in China
The present position of China in the forecast of earthquake can be summarized as follows:
We have some knowledge on the tenet of earthquake cultivation and the
regular pattern of the earthquakes, but we are not fully aware of the whole story of
earthquakes. We could forecast some types of earthquakes, but we could not forecast all
earthquakes. Our long and middle range forecasts on earthquakes are credible to some
extent, but the short term and imminent earthquake predictions are still not so
successful.
Because of the highlighting of the government and the distinct target set for
seismologists, through the joint efforts of generations of seismologists, the earthquake
forecast in China has now ranked in the front row of the world. In the fourth active
period of earthquakes, we have given veracious imminent prediction to several earthquakes
such as the Haicheng earthquake, thus, after the assessment of the United Nations
Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (UNESCO),
China is recorded in the history of the world as the first country that
successfully gives short term earthquake predictions.
Earthquake forecast is still in a period of exploration. Mankind is
still not fully aware of the regular pattern of earthquake cultivation and development.
Our present forecasts mainly have their basis on the accumulated materials and examples of
earthquakes through many years. Our forecast is of only based on our experience in nature,
thus, it's inevitable that the forecast might be quite limited. For this purpose, the Law
of Earthquake Prevention and Mitigation of Disaster of the People's Republic of China
stipulated that: China adopts the unity system to issue earthquake forecast.
The right of earthquake forecast issuing is kept with the government in
China. No earthquake administration unit of any level, research unit, observation
stations, scientists or individuals has the right to issue news concerning earthquake
forecast.
 
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